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霍尔木兹海峡反复“开关”，剧烈波动之下周期板块如何投资？_蜘蛛资讯网

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入业务，投入大、成功率低，企业普遍不愿承担勘探风险；　　三是地缘动荡大幅缩短了企业的回本周期预期，从过去的5-10年压缩至3-4年，进一步抑制了长期资本开支的意愿。如今企业更倾向于通过并购成熟项目扩大规模，而非投入资金进行新矿勘探，这种“存量博弈”的格局，让大宗商品的供给释放长期受限。　　与此同时，能源转型、逆全球化、人工智能算力发展等新趋势，持续拉动铜、铝、稀土等有色金属的需求。资本开支的长期缺

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